ABSTRACT
This paper presents a novel approach to the problem of time periodization, which involves dividing the time span of a complex dynamic phenomenon into periods that enclose different relatively stable states or development trends. The challenge lies in finding such a division of the time that takes into account diverse behaviours of multiple components of the phenomenon while being simple and easy to interpret. Despite the importance of this problem, it has not received sufficient attention in the fields of visual analytics and data science. We use a real-world example from aviation and an additional usage scenario on analysing mobility trends during the COVID-19 pandemic to develop and test an analytical workflow that combines computational and interactive visual techniques. We highlight the differences between the two cases and show how they affect the use of different techniques. Through our investigation of possible variations in the time periodization problem, we discuss the potential of our approach to be used in various applications. Our contributions include defining and investigating an earlier neglected problem type, developing a practical and reproducible approach to solving problems of this type, and uncovering potential for formalization and development of computational methods.
ABSTRACT
The COVID-19 pandemic generated large amounts of diverse data, including testing, treatments, vaccine trials, data from modeling, etc. To support epidemiologists and modeling scientists in their efforts to understand and respond to the pandemic, there arose a need for web visualization and visual analytics (VIS) applications to provide insights and support decision-making. In this paper, we present RAMPVIS, an infrastructure designed to support a range of observational, analytical, model-developmental, and dissemination tasks. One of the main features of the system is the ability to "propagate" a visualization designed for one data source to similar ones, this allows a user to quickly visualize large amounts of data. In addition to the COVID pandemic, the RAMPVIS software may be adapted and used with different data to provide rapid visualization support for other emergency responses.
ABSTRACT
Human mobility has been recognized as one of the critical factors determining the spread of contagious diseases, such as SARS-CoV-2, a highly contagious and elusive virus. This virus disrupts the normal lives of more than half of the global population in one way or another, claiming the lives of millions. In such cases, mobility should be managed via the imposition of certain policies. This proposed study presents a newly developed spatial platform aimed at simulating and mapping the spread of infectious diseases and mobility patterns under different scenarios based on different epidemiological models. In addition to the "business as usual" scenario, other response scenarios can be defined to reflect real-world situations, taking into consideration various parameters, including the daily rise in infections and deaths, among others. The developed system provides insights to decision-makers about strategies to be implemented and measures for controlling the spread of the virus.
ABSTRACT
We introduce a concept of episode referring to a time interval in the development of a dynamic phenomenon that is characterized by multiple time-variant attributes. A data structure representing a single episode is a multivariate time series. To analyse collections of episodes, we propose an approach that is based on recognition of particular patterns in the temporal variation of the variables within episodes. Each episode is thus represented by a combination of patterns. Using this representation, we apply visual analytics techniques to fulfil a set of analysis tasks, such as investigation of the temporal distribution of the patterns, frequencies of transitions between the patterns in episode sequences, and co-occurrences of patterns of different variables within same episodes. We demonstrate our approach on two examples using real-world data, namely, dynamics of human mobility indicators during the COVID-19 pandemic and characteristics of football team movements during episodes of ball turnover. © 2023 The Author(s)
ABSTRACT
COVID-19 epidemic has resulted in severe chaos across the globe. Complex frameworks can be investigated and studied using mathematical models, which are reliable and efficient. The objective of this research is to scrutinize the progression and prediction of parameters that evaluate the emergence and transmission of COVID-19 in the two most affected nations, i.e., the USA and India. Five models including the standard and hybrid epidemic models, viz, SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Removed), SIRD (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Death), SIRD with vaccination, SIRD with vital dynamics (i.e., including birth rate and death rate) and, SIRD with vital dynamics and vaccination have been developed. Worldwide statistics have been observed utilizing graphical layouts. Model evaluation measures such as Mean Absolute error (MAE), Mean-square error (MSE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) for different parameters namely infection rate, recovery rate, and death rate have been estimated. © 2022 IEEE.
ABSTRACT
Exploratory data analysis tools designed to measure global and local spatial autocorrelation (e.g. Moran's (Formula presented.) statistic) have become standard in modern GIS software. However, there has been little development in amending these tools for visualization and analysis of patterns captured in spatio-temporal data. We design and implement an exploratory mapping tool, VASA (Visual Analysis for Spatial Association), that streamlines analytical pipelines in assessing spatio-temporal structure of data and enables enhanced visual display of the patterns captured in data. Specifically, VASA applies a set of cartographic visual variables to map local measures of spatial autocorrelation and helps delineate micro and macro trends in space-time processes. Two visual displays are presented: recency and consistency map and line-scatter plots. The former combines spatial and temporal data view of local clusters, while the latter drills down on the temporal trends of the phenomena. As a case study, we demonstrate the usability of VASA for the investigation of mobility patterns in response to the COVID-19 pandemic throughout 2020 in the United States. Using daily county-level and grid-level mobility metrics obtained from three different sources (SafeGraph, Cuebiq, and Mapbox), we demonstrate cartographic functionality of VASA for a swift exploratory analysis and comparison of mobility trends at different regional scales. © 2023 Cartography and Geographic Information Society.
ABSTRACT
COVID-19 epidemic has resulted in severe chaos across the globe. Complex frameworks can be investigated and studied using mathematical models, which are reliable and efficient. The objective of this research is to scrutinize the progression and prediction of parameters that evaluate the emergence and transmission of COVID-19 in the two most affected nations, i.e., the USA and India. Five models including the standard and hybrid epidemic models, viz, SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Removed), SIRD (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered-Death), SIRD with vaccination, SIRD with vital dynamics (i.e., including birth rate and death rate) and, SIRD with vital dynamics and vaccination have been developed. Worldwide statistics have been observed utilizing graphical layouts. Model evaluation measures such as Mean Absolute error (MAE), Mean-square error (MSE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) for different parameters namely infection rate, recovery rate, and death rate have been estimated. © 2022 IEEE.
ABSTRACT
The limited exchange between human communities is a key factor in preventing the spread of COVID-19. This paper introduces a digital framework that combines an integration of real mobility data at the country scale with a series of modeling techniques and visual capabilities that highlight mobility patterns before and during the pandemic. The findings not only significantly exhibit mobility trends and different degrees of similarities at regional and local levels but also provide potential insight into the emergence of a pandemic on human behavior patterns and their likely socio-economic impacts. © 2022 IEEE.
ABSTRACT
We propose PACO, a visual analytics framework to support the prediction, analysis, and communication of COVID-19 hospitalization outcomes. Although several real-world data sets about COVID-19 are openly available, most of the current research focuses on the detection of the disease. Until now, no previous work exists on combining insights from medical image data with knowledge extracted from clinical data, predicting the likelihood of an intensive care unit (ICU) visit, ventilation, or decease. Moreover, available literature has not yet focused on communicating such results to the broader society. To support the prediction, analysis and communication of the outcomes of COVID-19 hospitalizations on the basis of a publicly available data set comprising both electronic health data and medical image data [SSP∗21], we conduct the following three steps: (1) automated segmentation of the available X-ray images and processing of clinical data, (2) development of a model for the prediction of disease outcomes and a comparison to state-of-the-art prediction scores for both data sources, i.e., medical images and clinical data, and (3) the communication of outcomes to two different groups (i.e., clinical experts and the general population) through interactive dashboards. Preliminary results indicate that the prediction, analysis and communication of hospitalization outcomes is a significant topic in the context of COVID-19 prevention. © 2022 The Author(s) © 2022 The Eurographics Association.
ABSTRACT
Visual analytics tools for spatiotemporal analysis can be used to manage and monitor the propagation of an epidemic. The problem is that dashboards encountered in the literature do not take into consideration how the geolocation characteristics, such as socioeconomic indicators, influence the infection risk or other epidemic variables. This analysis can support health officials in managing the outbreak to consider information about indicators in compartment models for propagation prediction and intervention simulation. The objective of this work was to bring widgets that offer a more profound exploration and analysis of the impact of the pandemic on socioeconomic indicators. In our approach, the association of epidemic variables and indicators can be explored with commonly adopted visualization plots. Also, we propose a way to gather the specialist's risk perception, and as a result, a risk heatmap is produced, allowing the reduction of time series data cluttering. Finally, it is possible to use the risk heatmap information to compare neighbourhoods and socioeconomic indicators by ranking them according to a severity score. Some use cases were performed to demonstrate the use and capability of the proposed widgets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] Copyright of Mathematical Problems in Engineering is the property of Hindawi Limited and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
ABSTRACT
The recent worldwide SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic has reshaped the way people live, how they access goods and services, and how they perform various activities. For public transit, there have been health concerns over the potential spread to transit users and transit service staff, which prompted transportation agencies to make decisions about the service, e.g., whether to reduce or temporarily shut down services. These decisions had substantial negative consequences, especially for transit-dependent travelers, and prompted transit users to explore alternative transportation modes, e.g., bikeshare. However, local governments and the public in general have limited information about whether and to what extent bikeshare provides adequate accessibility and mobility to those transit-dependent residents. To fill this gap, this study implemented spatial and visual analytics to identify how micro-mobility in the form of bikesharing has addressed travel needs and improved the resilience of transportation systems. The study analyzed the case of San Francisco in California, USA, focusing on three phases of the pandemic, i.e., initial confirmed cases, shelter-in-place, and initial changes in transit service. First, the authors implemented unsupervised machine learning clustering methods to identify different bikesharing trip types. Moreover, through spatiotemporally matching bikeshare ridership data with transit service information (i.e., General Transit Feed Specification, GTFS) using the tool called OpenTripPlanner (OTP), the authors studied the travel behavior changes (e.g., the proportion of bikeshare trips that could be finished by transit) for different bikeshare trip types over the three specified phases. This study revealed that during the pandemic, more casual users joined bikeshare programs; the proportion of recreation-related bikeshare trips increased; and routine trips became more prevalent considering that docking-station-based bikeshare trips increased. More importantly, the analyses also provided insights about mode substitution, because the analyses identified an increase in dockless bikeshare trips in areas with no or limited transit coverage.
ABSTRACT
In the current uncertain world, data are kept growing bigger. Big data refer to the data flow of huge volume, high velocity, wide variety, and different levels of veracity (e.g., precise data, imprecise/uncertain data). Embedded in these big data are implicit, previously unknown, but valuable information and knowledge. With huge volumes of information and knowledge that can be discovered by techniques like data mining, a challenge is to validate and visualize the data mining results. To validate data for better data aggregation in estimation and prediction and for establishing trustworthy artificial intelligence, the synergy of visualization models and data mining strategies are needed. Hence, in this paper, we present a solution for visualization and visual knowledge discovery from big uncertain data. Our solution aims to discover knowledge in the form of frequently co-occurring patterns from big uncertain data and visualize the discovered knowledge. In particular, the solution shows the upper and lower bounds on frequency of these patterns. Evaluation with real-life Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) data demonstrates the effectiveness and practicality of our solution in visualization and visual knowledge discovery from big health informatics data collected from the current uncertain world. © 2022 IEEE.
ABSTRACT
In the current era of big data, very large amounts of data are generating at a rapid rate from a wide variety of rich data sources. Electronic health (e-health) records are examples of the big data. With the technological advancements, more healthcare practice has gradually been supported by electronic processes and communication. This enables health informatics, in which computer science meets the healthcare sector to address healthcare and medical problems. Embedded in the big data are valuable information and knowledge that can be discovered by data science, data mining and machine learning techniques. Many of these techniques apply "opaque box"approaches to make accurate predictions. However, these techniques may not be crystal clear to the users. As the users not necessarily be able to clearly view the entire knowledge discovery (e.g., prediction) process, they may not easily trust the discovered knowledge (e.g., predictions). Hence, in this paper, we present a system for providing trustworthy explanations for knowledge discovered from e-health records. Specifically, our system provides users with global explanations for the important features among the records. It also provides users with local explanations for a particular record. Evaluation results on real-life e-health records show the practicality of our system in providing trustworthy explanations to knowledge discovered (e.g., accurate predictions made). © 2022 IEEE.
ABSTRACT
The recent waves of COVID-19 highlighted the importance of understanding and quantifying spatiotemporal interactions to infer, model, and predict disease spread in real time. In this demonstration paper, we present a robust infrastructure for interactive exploration of interregional and international spatiotemporal interactions via time-lagged correlations of increases in COVID-19 incidence. This infrastructure consists of: (i) an operational data store (ODS) coupled with automated scripts for downloading, cleaning, and processing data from heterogeneous sources;(ii) a server application handling on-demand analyses of the database data through a RESTful API;and (iii) a web application providing the interactive dashboard to explore various correlation and geostatistical metrics of the integrated data in spacetime. The environment allows users to study focal spatiotemporal trends and the potential of regions to export and import the virus. Moreover, the application has the potential to reveal the effect of the national border to mitigate the interaction, particularly the spread of the virus. The infrastructure serves COVID-19 data from Germany, Poland, and Czechia, with the possibility of extension to other regions and topics. The dashboard is under active development and accessible on www.where2test.de/correlation. © 2022 Owner/Author.
ABSTRACT
The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in more than 440 million confirmed cases globally and almost 6 million reported deaths as of March 2022. Consequently, the world experienced grave repercussions to citizens' lives, health, wellness, and the economy. In responding to such a disastrous global event, countermeasures are often implemented to slow down and limit the virus's rapid spread. Meanwhile, disaster recovery, mitigation, and preparation measures have been taken to manage the impacts and losses of the ongoing and future pandemics. Data-driven techniques have been successfully applied to many domains and critical applications in recent years. Due to the highly interdisciplinary nature of pandemic management, researchers have proposed and developed data-driven techniques across various domains. However, a systematic and comprehensive survey of data-driven techniques for pandemic management is still missing. In this article, we review existing data analysis and visualization techniques and their applications for COVID-19 and future pandemic management with respect to four phases (namely, Response, Recovery, Mitigation, and Preparation) in disaster management. Data sources utilized in these studies and specific data acquisition and integration techniques for COVID-19 are also summarized. Furthermore, open issues and future directions for data-driven pandemic management are discussed.
ABSTRACT
With the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the execution of eye-tracking user studies in indoor environments was no longer possible, and remote and contactless substitutes are needed. With this paper, we want to introduce an alternative method to eye tracking, completely feasible under COVID-19 restrictions. Our main technique are think aloud interviews, where participants constantly verbalize their thoughts as they move through a test. We record the screen and the mouse movements during the interviews, and analyse both the statements and the mouse positions afterwards. With this information, we can encode the approximate map position of the user's attention for each second of the interview. This allows us to use the same visual methods as for eye-tracking studies, like attention maps or trajectory maps. We implement our method conducting a user study with 21 participants to identify user behaviour while solving high-level interpretation tasks, and with the results of this study, we can show that or new method provides a useful substitute for eye-tracking user studies.
ABSTRACT
Currently, communications of the COVID-19 vaccine risk and benefit have been confusing and ineffective. This research presents a visual analytical approach to enable decision-driven, multi-perspective risk characterization of COVID-19 vaccination. Using data collected from Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), we designed multiple-views dash-boards based on identified risk factors to support interactive explorations of anaphylactic risks from policy, clinical, and personal contexts. Based on the hypothetical scenarios, we showed that our visual analytical approach offers multiple benefits for risk characterization tasks, including flexibility in focusing on the subset of risk factors that are specific to user's decision context, exploring and assessing risk in multiple levels of details, and characterizing risk metrics together with uncertainties. Our method and tools have potentials of improving COVID-19 vaccine risk communication to address vaccine hesitancy and to inform public policy. © 2022 IEEE.
ABSTRACT
The coronavirus pandemic is one of the leading communication topics for users on social networks. It causes different emotions in people: fear, sadness, anger, joy, and elation. Detecting sentiment about the pandemic is an acute challenge because it helps track people’s attitudes about the pandemic itself and the messages and decisions of local authorities aimed at combating the coronavirus. To address the issue, namely natural language processing, messages are processed using the TextRank vectorization method and the SVM-based two-level classification model. The first stage is the detection of tweets that are directly related to the coronavirus. The second stage means detecting the sentiment of the dataset obtained in the first stage. The classifier’s effectiveness was tested using the following metrics: precision, recall, F1-norm, and confusion matrix, and averaged about 90%. Thus, the automated detection of the sentiment of Twitter messages about the coronavirus pandemic was obtained. The approach described in the paper will allow assessing public opinion on pandemic control measures applied by the country’s governments. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
ABSTRACT
We propose semantic visualization as a linguistic visual analytic method. It can enable exploration and discovery over large datasets of complex networks by exploiting the semantics of the relations in them. This involves extracting information, applying parameter reduction operations, building hierarchical data representation and designing visualization. We also present the accompanying COVID-SEMVIZ, a searchable and interactive visualization system for knowledge exploration of COVID-19 data to demonstrate the application of our proposed method.1 In the user studies, users found that semantic visualization-powered COVID-SEMVIZ is helpful in terms of finding relevant information and discovering unknown associations. © 2021 Association for Computational Linguistics.
ABSTRACT
We report on an ongoing collaboration between epidemiological modellers and visualization researchers by documenting and reflecting upon knowledge constructs-a series of ideas, approaches and methods taken from existing visualization research and practice-deployed and developed to support modelling of the COVID-19 pandemic. Structured independent commentary on these efforts is synthesized through iterative reflection to develop: evidence of the effectiveness and value of visualization in this context; open problems upon which the research communities may focus; guidance for future activity of this type and recommendations to safeguard the achievements and promote, advance, secure and prepare for future collaborations of this kind. In describing and comparing a series of related projects that were undertaken in unprecedented conditions, our hope is that this unique report, and its rich interactive supplementary materials, will guide the scientific community in embracing visualization in its observation, analysis and modelling of data as well as in disseminating findings. Equally we hope to encourage the visualization community to engage with impactful science in addressing its emerging data challenges. If we are successful, this showcase of activity may stimulate mutually beneficial engagement between communities with complementary expertise to address problems of significance in epidemiology and beyond. See https://ramp-vis.github.io/RAMPVIS-PhilTransA-Supplement/. This article is part of the theme issue 'Technical challenges of modelling real-life epidemics and examples of overcoming these'.